A look at the offensive stats for the first third of the season

Four games are in the books already and it's hard to believe that Wyoming only has eight regular season games remaining in 2010.  With no bye week that means the next two months are going to spent all on Cowboy football. 

With a sample size of four games we can now take a look at the stats compiled and try and make a few projections for the rest of the season.  There will be another review done after eight games are played to see how these accurate these projections are looking. 

What are you surpised by this year?  Who will step up for the Pokes the rest of the year?  Full offensive stats and predictions/analysis after the jump.


Passing

Passing Rushing Sacks
G Rating Comp Att Pct Yds Y/G Y/A TD INT Rush Yds Y/G Avg TD Sack YdsL
Austyn Carta-Samuels 4 70.0 60 88 68.2 701 175.3 8 4 4 37 52 13 1.4 1 - -
Dax Crum 2 60.0 4 7 57.1 39 19.5 5.6 0 0 3 3 1.5 1 0 - -

Rushing

Rushing Receiving
G Rush Yds Y/G Avg TD Rec Yds Y/G Avg TD
Alvester Alexander 4 55 201 50.3 3.7 3 7 89 22.3 12.7 0
Austyn Carta-Samuels 4 37 52 13 1.4 1 0 0 0 0 0
Dax Crum 2 3 3 1.5 1 0 0 0 0 0 0
James Davis 2 3 16 8 5.3 0 1 6 3 6 0
Robert Herron 3 3 3 1 1 0 2 9 3 4.5 0
Nehemie Kankolongo 3 9 12 4 1.3 0 1 5 1.7 5 0
Chris McNeill 4 4 -10 -2.5 -2.5 0 10 80 20 8 0
Mazi Ogbonna 2 1 -2 -1 -2 0 8 83 41.5 10.4 1

Receiving

Receiving
G Rec Yds Y/G AVG TD
Jonathan Aiken 1 2 9 9 4.5 0
Alvester Alexander 4 7 89 22.3 12.7 0
Zach Bolger 4 13 236 59 18.2 2
Travis Burkhalter 1 1 12 12 12 0
James Davis 2 1 6 3 6 0
Robert Herron 3 2 9 3 4.5 0
Nehemie Kankolongo 3 1 5 1.7 5 0
David Leonard 4 13 147 36.8 11.3 0
DeJay Lester 1 2 18 18 9 0
Chris McNeill 4 10 80 20 8 0
Mazi Ogbonna 2 8 83 41.5 10.4 1

Kicking

Field Goals PAT
G 0-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50+ FGM FGA PCT XPM XPA PCT pts



The big question mark for the offense is what type of offense will we see the rest of the year?  The pass happy one where ACS throws for over 300 yards that we saw against Southern Utah.  Or will it the run heavy scheme that debuted against Air Force and only had 11 pass attempts.  While the scenarios are both extremes I expect a fairly balanced offensive output which means the averages could near the current levels. 

The last four games of 2010 are against weaker opponents: San Diego State, @ New Mexico, @ UNLV, Colorado State.  There should be plenty of yards put up in those final four games.  Hopefully Wyoming can keep the team focused during the next four games so they can take advantage of the easier schedule to end the year.

PROJECTIONS = Currents stats multiplied by three to come up with end of their year statistics.

PREDICTIONS = What I feel the player will actually end at this year.

QB

Austyn Carta-Samuels

PROJECTED = 2103 yards passing, 12 TD's/12 INT's. 156 yards rushing, 3 touchdowns.

PREDICTED = 2050 yards passing, 15 TD's/8 INT's.  370 yards rushing, 5 touchdowns.

Expect an average of 160-170 yards passing and forty yards on the ground per game.  The touchdown/interception ratio will also improve.  ACS will revert back to the dual threat QB that was so dangerous last year.

RB

Alvester Alexander

PROJECTED = 603 yards rushing, 9 touchdowns.  21 receptions for 267 yards.

PREDICTED = 721 yards rushing, 11 touchdowns. 19 receptions for 242 yards.

With the increased focus on the run Alexander will pile up the yards and average about 65 yards per game from here on out.

Nehemie Kankolongo

PROJECTED = 36 yards rushing and no touchdowns. 3 receptions for 15 yards.

PREDICTED = 210 yards rushing and two touchdowns. 5 receptions for 28 yards.

Kongo has not had the ball much in his first three games but he will called upon more often with the renewed focus on the run.  With only two running backs on the roster it will be important for Kankolongo to be productive when Alexander is getting a breather.

WR

Zach Bolger

PROJECTED = 39 receptions for 708 yards and six touchdowns. 

PREDICTED = 33 receptions for 612 yards and five touchdowns.

The hot start for Bolger will not continue as opposing defenses focus on him and there are less passes being thrown overall the rest of the season.

David Leonard

PROJECTED = 39 receptions for 441 yards and no touchdowns.

PREDICTED =  30 receptions for 402 yards and two touchdowns.

Leonard will increase his yards per catch but won't catch as many balls the rest of the year.  Will find the end zone at least twice.

Mazi Ogbonna

PROJECTED = 24 receptions for 249 yards and three touchdowns.

PREDICTED = 31 receptions for 312 yards and five touchdowns.

With new found health Ogbonna will become a nice option in the passing game the rest of the season.  Will set himself up to be the top WR next year. 

Chris McNeill

PROJECTED = 30 receptions for 240 yards and no touchdowns. 

PREDICTED =  25 receptions for 205 yards and no touchdowns. 

McNeill will remain a solid route runner but still isn't ready to break things wide open.  Hopefully they will stop running to sweep to him the rest of the season.

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